- Wycombe have won 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings and lost the other 2.
- Wycombe have lost 2 of their last 4 home matches but they scored 8 goals in their last 4.
- Stevenage have scored 0.75 goals per away game and have allowed 2.00 goals per game on average.
Chess board match-up at Adams Park
Wycombe are the most likely winners on home turf and are the bookies' favourites at 32/25, with Stevenage listed at 41/20 and the draw at 23/10 in the three-way market.
The two sides have contrasting styles which is why we're expecting a cagey cup tie on Friday. Michael Duff sets up Wycombe to be a team with a shape first, organised, defensive base, usually a back three or back five that stays narrow, with plenty of patience in build-up and wide wing-backs. The visitors, Alex Revell, will have Stevenage set up to be a direct, high energy side in transition, built on physicality, second balls and quick forward runs.
Wycombe's form in their last 5 has been indifferent at best - a 1-1-3 run, with a 3-2 home win against Rotherham United in League One 2025/2026 and a 1-0 away loss to Queens Park Rangers in Friendly Club Matches 2026. They are more consistent across their last 10 at 3-1-6 but they should have enough discipline to see this one through.
Stevenage are also 2-3 across their last 5, with a 0-5 at home to West Ham in Friendly Club Matches 2026 followed by a 1-0 win at home to Millwall. Like their hosts, they're also slightly better across the last 10, 4-2-4.
Stevenage aren’t the best travellers
Stevenage are the higher scoring side in the bigger picture of the form book and their away defensive record, 0.75 goals scored per game and 2.00 conceded, suggests they'll get chances. But they've failed to win their last two trips to this venue and this early round EFL Cup tie could be a real test of depth and discipline.
Wycombe are structured and Stevenage are a bit more loose, but on the road, The Boro are 1-1-2 in all current competitions. This should be a close affair and the odds and styles of these sides suggests a narrow result. Under 2.5 goals is 73/100 and Both Teams to Score - No is 91/100. The home side may not be in good form but a 3-1 win here 5 months ago in League One 2025/2026 should be a good reminder that Wycombe know how to handle this match-up.
