- Team form: Queens Park Rangers have won four of their last five games in all competitions (D1, L0) and scored seven goals in their last five home matches.
- Away form: Millwall have won just one of their last five in all competitions (D2, L2) and have two wins, three draws and three losses in their eight away matches in all competitions.
- Recent meetings: Millwall have won the last two meetings between the two sides, including a 2-0 victory at The Den in Championship 2025/2026.
Cup tie anyone?
Odds and markets
Queens Park Rangers look good value at 3.1 for Saturday's EFL Cup 2026-2027 contest with Millwall at Loftus Road, although we're going to play it safe and recommend a low-stakes wager on the away side, who are favorites at 2.18. The draw stands at 3.5 in the odds, which looks low considering Millwall have two away wins, three away draws and three away losses on the season.
QPR form
QPR are in great form as they arrive at Loftus Road, having won four straight matches in all competitions, and look to have discovered a system and balance that is really starting to work. Julien Stephan's squad are playing with a real structure, compactness and verticality that had been missing in previous months, and the four-game winning streak suggests that his ideas are finally being accepted by the players.
- After hammering Bromley 0-7 away in the previous round, the Rs then saw off Wycombe Wanderers at home and took down AC Fiorentina.
Millwall tactics and form
Alex Neil has Millwall set up in a direct 4-2-3-1 formation that becomes a 4-1-4-1 without the ball. The Lions press high, but are also set up to release players quickly into transition with wide runners. It looks a good formula for the players on the field and they have had some good results in the cup this season, but the form is mixed across all competitions with three wins, three draws and four defeats in their last ten.
QPR can turn the tide
The head-to-head record, which favours Millwall in the most recent two meetings, is just about enough to stop us siding with the hosts here, who arrive with much more momentum. The Lions' pressing is more intense and they are quicker to release into the wide areas on the counter, while QPR are more structured in their build-up and are better when they can turn the screw on teams.
Millwall's away form is a concern (W2, D3, L3) and the average goals per game in this fixture leans towards an away win, with QPR having conceded just 1.3 goals per match when hosting Millwall and the visitors averaging 1.0 on their travels. Under 2.5 goals at 1.85 looks too big for what is likely to be a close tactical battle, while Both Teams To Score at 1.75 is also a good fit.
